Over the last couple of weeks, we’ve introduced the Lezak Recurring Cycle methodology. This week we’ll show
how the LRC is changing the mindset of weather prediction in the agricultural sector by enabling
precise and informed farming decisions, with forecasts reliable up to nearly a year in advance.
In the drought-ridden 2021 growing season, the LRC model accurately predicted the ongoing drought conditions across the northern plains. During a call to the Jay Thomas Show on WDAY radio, a farmer remarked that it only takes one thunderstorm timed right that could make the corn crop. As a guest on that show, Gary Lezak clarified that it is highly unlikely this season as this drought will continue, and the opportunities for thunderstorms will be low. This accurate prediction of drought continuation proved crucial for managing agricultural expectations and operations. Fast forward to the 2024 growing season, where LRC’s predictions painted a very different picture, showcasing the technology’s precision. The forecasts from the LRC have been quite accurate and these predictions visualized through the Weather 20/20 Vision Dashboard is a tool that will be quite valuable for planning the months ahead.
WDAY Ag Director Bridgette Readel emphasized the advantages of knowing the weather weeks to months ahead. The LRC gives our regional agriculture industry the opportunity to prepare for a variety of concerns from storms during calving season to dry conditions that affect seed maturity or disease package purchases, she explained. This kind of forecasting precision allows ag retailers to plan weeks to months ahead for disease management and helps farmers decide on crop acreage based on anticipated planting dates, enhancing efficiency and profitability, she added. This is a great example of the power of understanding the cycling weather pattern, which often takes a good year or so before it clicks. Watch closely as we share this with you in the coming weeks, months, years.
The jet stream has just now started to go through a fascinating transition. Colder air masses have started forming over northern Canada and the increasing temperature contrast will soon strengthen and the jet stream will begin its southward shift across the Northern Hemisphere as the seasons begin to change. The development of a new LRC pattern is now just two months away, and we will be sharing this major weather change with you. The updated LRC model will begin producing accurate predictions for 2025 in just a few weeks.
For clients, the reliability of the LRC allowed them to prepare for their seasons with more confidence. For example, in 2022, just a year after that drought ridden 2021 season, our model predicted a series of blizzards in March and April, indicating a potentially delayed planting season. Indeed, the season began too wet for fieldwork but eventually led to a successful crop yield as conditions improved. This now makes it four years in a row, four very different and unique weather patterns that were all predicted by the LRC model months before growing season, and farmers are now accessing this valuable model.
The forecasts from the patent pending model are updated daily and then calculated every Saturday night. The attached forecast charts were run for the five-state region of North Dakota, South Dakota, Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Iowa. The temperature graph shows a big cold outbreak around the middle of October with freezes likely and the other chart shows the percentage of average rainfall between now and the end of October. The LRC model will have a major update as the new LRC sets up after the first week of October.
If you would like to learn more or join this paradigm shift in weather prediction, click HERE.
