Last week, we introduced the Lezak Recurring Cycle (LRC) methodology, a weather prediction model that Gary Lezak has been refining over the past three decades. This week, we’ll explore how the LRC is transforming the agricultural sector by enabling precise and informed decisions through forecasts that are reliable up to nearly a year in advance.
First, let’s discuss the jet stream and what is currently unfolding around the Northern Hemisphere. The jet stream, driven by temperature contrasts, is typically weakest and farthest north in early August. It will soon strengthen and begin shifting south as colder air masses develop, and we will also experience the emergence of the new LRC in just two months. Until then, expect precipitation patterns from what has been happening this year to reemerge as we transition into September. It’s this atmospheric transition that underscores the value of the LRC, offering essential long-range forecasts crucial for agricultural planning.
Attached is the forecast for the Kansas and Nebraska region as we move through September, showing anticipated rainfall and temperature trends. Despite occasional dry spells, this year’s cycling weather pattern has produced timely rains that alleviated drier conditions as predicted by the LRC. Indeed, the method has proven accurate across the Corn Belt for the past four years. The model is as accurate, or more so, at 100 days out as standard 7-day forecasts are on your typical weather app. The upcoming first three weeks of September are expected to be particularly wet across much of the Corn Belt.
By integrating these advanced weather predictions into farm management systems, farmers now have the ammunition to adapt swiftly to significant weather changes. Those that used the early predictions of the LRC this season, which showed rainfall amounts and the timing of when it would rain across the Corn Belt, were able to adjust their irrigation schedules and planting strategies months in advance. This capacity to anticipate and react to what were once unexpected weather events allows optimization of production strategies as well as enhancing yield potential.
Attached is the forecast for Kansas and Nebraska for the harvest season ahead. If you are interested in learning more about how tailored, precise weather forecasts can revolutionize your agriculture practices, click HERE.